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The 3Q 2008 Queens Market Overview [pdf] that I author for Prudential Douglas Elliman [PDE] is available for download. Due to demand, I expanded the Long Island/Queens Market Overview into two separate reports.

To review the report methodology.

An excerpt

…Both price indicators have declined nearly every quarter since the first quarter of 2007. Median sales price in the current quarter is $400,000, down 11.4% from the $451,250 of the prior year quarter and down 20% from the $480,000 market peak in first quarter 2007. Average sales price reached $436,575 this quarter, down 8.8% from the prior year quarter average sales price of $478,752 and down 11.2% from the $485,455 average sales price for the first quarter of 2007. The market trends by quintiles showed a wide range of price trends. The entry level or first quintile was $175,000 and showed no change in median sales price from the prior year quarter. The weakest segment was the third or middle quintile, that saw a 25.8% decline in median sales price to $335,000 from $451,250 in the same period last year…

Download report: 3Q 2008 Queens Market Overview [pdf]

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The 3Q 2008 Long Island Market Overview [pdf] that I author for Prudential Douglas Elliman [PDE] is available for download. Due to demand, I expanded the Long Island/Queens Market Overview into two separate reports.

To review the report methodology.

An excerpt

…The median sales price for the fifth consecutive quarter has fallen from the prior year quarter and seven of the last eight quarters. The Median sales price at $415,000 was down 6.2% from $442,380 in the same period last year. Median sales price is off 7.8% from its peak two years ago during the same period when it was $445,521. Average sales price saw a similar pattern suggesting that the price decline was not due to a skew in the mix of what sold over the quarter. The average sales price was $508,936 this quarter, down 7.3% from the prior year quarter result of $548,883…

Download report: 3Q 2008 Long Island Market Overview [pdf]

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Commercial Grade is a post by John Cicero, MAI who provides commentary on issues affecting real estate appraisers, with specific focus on commercial valuation. John is a partner of mine in our commercial real estate valuation concern [Miller Cicero, LLC](http://www.millercicero.com) and he is, depending on what day of the week it is, one of the smartest guys I know. …Jonathan Miller

The semi-annual market report that I prepare on behalf of investment sales brokerage firm Massey Knakal Realty Services is available for download. This report was particularly interesting in that it reflected the multi-family and mixed-use sales market in New York City post “credit crunch.” We found that the number of sales was down significantly, 31% overall from the same period last year, with the biggest declines in Northern Manhattan and the Bronx. The median price per square foot was $222/SF, down 5% from the prior period, while the median cap rates increased to 5.8% and the median GIM declined to 11.5.

Download full report

Tags: Soapbox Blog, Massey Knakal, Commercial Grade

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The 3Q 2008 Brooklyn Market Overview that I author for Prudential Douglas Elliman was just released.

Look for lots of additional data and charts on the market in the coming weeks.

Other reports we prepare can be found here.

Historical aggregate [data](https://www.millersamuel.com/data) is online (which I will continue to expand) and a series of [charts](https://www.millersamuel.com/charts/index.php?Node=1215666045XVpiJ) will also be available soon.

An excerpt

…The overall average sales price of a Brooklyn residential property was $575,287 this quarter, down 4.7% from the $603,428 average sales price of the same period last year. Median sales price showed a similar pattern, slipping 5.6% to $510,000 this quarter from $540,000 in the prior year quarter. There was a 4.5% decline in the condo median sales price to $505,493 over the same period which is consistent with the overall market. Co-ops showed little change in median sales price borough-wide over the same period. The median sales price of a co-op was down 1.7% to $280,000. The median sales price of 1-3 Family properties declined 3.2% to $600,000, Luxury properties were consistent with the overall market sliding 3.4% to $1,210,000…

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Our commercial advisory firm just released its New York City Income Property Market Report for the first half of 2008 for Massey Knakal. My commercial valuation partner John Cicero prepares the report. It’s the only report of its kind that covers the New York City commercial market.

Here’s an excerpt:

Though underwriting may be more conservative, the decline in sales volume is a function of lack of inventory rather than lack of demand. The underlying rental market remains strong and investors continue to be interested in such property but supply is constrained. The consolidated median price per square foot across markets declined to $222, down 5% from the prior six month period. Similarly, the median cap rate (across all sectors) inched up slightly to 5.8% from 5.5% from the prior period while the median GIM slipped from 12.4 to 11.5…

Massey Knakal will distribute over 300,000 hard copies of the report over the next few months.

Massey Knakal New York City Income Property Market Report [1H08]

Report Methodology [Miller Cicero]

Tags: Massey Knakal, Miller Cicero

2 Comments

The 3Q 2008 Manhattan Market Overview that I author for Prudential Douglas Elliman was released on Friday.

Other reports we prepare can be found here.

The 3Q 2008 [data](https://www.millersamuel.com/data) and a series of updated [charts](https://www.millersamuel.com/charts/index.php?Node=1168392467huPCj) are also available

An excerpt

…The average price per square foot of all new development was $1,320 this quarter, down 1.5% from the prior year quarter. The average price per square foot of a re-sale apartment was up 4.3% to $1,142 per square foot as the bulk of higher end new development has been absorbed while higher end re-sale properties continue to sell…The impact of the credit contraction, associated volatility in the financial markets, as well as unprecedented government bailouts on a federal level have not shown up in the market data for the quarter. The key metrics to consider going forward are the lower level of sales activity compared to last year’s record levels and the rise of inventory. The reduction in affordable mortgage products continues to hamper buyers in New York as well as most housing markets across the country. The upcoming quarter begins with modest inventory levels and the likelihood of a reduction in new development units entering the housing stock next year due to the credit contraction….

In 2005, I began posting the links of the coverage of each report to see how each media outlet reports the market using the exact same data. I find it to be an interesting way to look at how this information is interpreted and presented.

The media coverage of the report was provided here as they were released (in no particular order). The headlines selected provide an interesting media perspective of the report contents since everyone was working off the same information.

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The online version of the Prudential Douglas Elliman 2Q 2008 Hamptons/North Fork Market Overview [Miller Samuel] is available for download.

I have been writing various incarnations of the New York regional market report series for Douglas Elliman since 1994.

To build Hamptons/North Fork custom data tables

To view Hamptons/North Fork charts

An excerpt

…The upper price range of the housing market continues to outperform the overall housing market. In each of the past four quarters, the luxury market, defined as the upper ten percent of all sales, saw a higher year over year quarterly increase in median sales price than the overall market. The luxury market increased 10.3% in median sales price and the overall market declined 9.2% in median sales price compared to the same period last year. The market area south of the highway consistently has the highest overall prices as compared to the areas to the north and on either side of the canal. Of the four regions, only south of the highway saw an increase in median sales price of 1% as compared to the prior year quarter…

Download report: [2Q 2008 Hamptons/North Fork Market Overview [pdf]](https://www.millersamuel.com/reports/pdf-reports/HNF2Q08.pdf)

3 Comments

The 2Q 2008 Long Island/Queens Market Overview [pdf] that I author for Prudential Douglas Elliman [PDE] is available for download. We took over the preparation of this market area study for them in 2Q 06.

You can see the methodology that went into the report.

An excerpt

…In continuation of last quarter’s market pattern, the pace of inventory growth and the pace in the decline in the number of sales continue to slow but still show weakening market conditions. The lower level of activity is reflective of stressed economic conditions and more stringent underwriting guidelines of mortgage lenders, who are requiring larger down payments, tighter ratios and higher credit scores. Despite a decline in activity, price indicators were essentially unchanged from the prior year quarter. There is an expectation of higher sales activity in the third quarter as spillover from the spring market activity closes in the summer months…

Download report: 2Q 2008 Long Island/Queens Market Overview [pdf]

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The 2Q 2008 Brooklyn Market Overview that I author for Prudential Douglas Elliman was just released.

It is the first comprehensive report of the entire borough, which is sort of surprising to me. Look for lots of additional data and charts on the market in the coming weeks. No sleep till Brooklyn!

Other reports we prepare can be found here.

A year’s worth of historical aggregate [data](https://www.millersamuel.com/data) (will have 5 years online in the coming weeks) and a series of [charts](https://www.millersamuel.com/charts/index.php?Node=1215666045XVpiJ) will also be available soon.

An excerpt

…The median sales price of a residential property in Brooklyn slipped 1.9% to $525,000 from $535,000 in the prior year quarter. Average sales price increased overall due to the influence of new condo development activity on overall prices. The average sales price of a Brooklyn property was $588,441 this quarter, 2.4% higher than the prior year quarter average sales price of $574,454. Condo prices, on a price per square foot basis, were up 16.4% to $575 from $494 in the prior year quarter. There is broad disparity between new development and re-sale condo prices. The price per square foot of a condo in a new development was $649 per square foot, up 27.5% from the $509 price per square foot of the prior year quarter. Over the same period, re-sale condos averaged $496 per square foot, up 7.4% from the $462 price per square foot of the prior year quarter…

In 2005, I began posting the links of the coverage of each report to see how each media outlet reports the market using the exact same data. I find it to be an interesting way to look at how this information is interpreted and presented.

The media coverage of the report will be provided here as they are released over the week (in no particular order).

Brooklyn home sales skid 44%; prices slip [New York Daily News]
Brooklyn Home Sales Drop 44% as Banks Tighten Lending [Bloomberg]
Brooklyn’s home sales and prices cooling [Crains New York]
Williamsburg, Greenpoint Home Prices Jump As Borough-Wide Sales Slump [NY Observer]
New Condos Saving Brooklyn Housing Market [NY Sun]
Brooklyn sales volume sees sharp drop [The Real Deal]
Second Quarter Brooklyn Market Report: Sales Nosedive! [Curbed]
Miller Samuel Report: Sales Down; Bstone, Burg Prices Up [Brownstoner]
‘KINGS’ ZINGED [NY Post]

Tags: Brownstoner, New York Observer

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The 2Q 2008 Manhattan Market Overview that I author for Prudential Douglas Elliman was released today. Other reports we prepare can be found here.

The [data](https://www.millersamuel.com/data) and a series of [charts](https://www.millersamuel.com/charts/index.php?Node=1168392467huPCj) are also available

An excerpt

…Like the prior quarter, fewer sales occurred compared to the prior year quarter, but more than the corresponding quarter two years prior. There were 3,081 co-op and condo sales collected at the close of the quarter, down 21.8% from the prior year quarter. The decline in activity was evenly spread across coop and condo property types with the lower level of demand related to tighter credit and a weaker economy. With tighter credit conditions for market participants existing today as compared to last year, it is reasonable to expect a lower level of activity relative to 2007 for the remainder of 2008. In fact, there were more co-op and condo sales in 2007 than in any other year over the past 20 years…

In 2005, I began posting the links of the coverage of each report to see how each media outlet reports the market using the exact same data. I find it to be an interesting way to look at how this information is interpreted and presented.

The media coverage of the report will be provided here as they are released over the week (in no particular order).

Manhattan Second-Quarter Apartment Sales Fall by 22% (Update1) [Bloomberg]
Manhattan apartment prices zoom but more on market [Reuters]
Wall Street’s ills weaken Manhattan apartment sales [NY Daily News]
Curbed Roundtable: July State O’ the Market Report [Curbed]
Manhattan housing prices edge up, but sales slow [The Real Deal]
The High-End End? [New York Observer]
Manhattan apartment sales drop, but prices climb [Associated Press/Businessweek]
Manhattan housing market slows [Crains New York Business]
Manhattan real estate starts to soften [CNN/Money]
Apartment Sales Remain Vigorous in Manhattan [New York Times]
City Housing Slump May Hit In 2009 [New York Sun]
MANHATTAN HIGH ROLLERS’ HIGH-RI$E HEAVEN [New York Post]
Sales still falling in Manhattan [Inman News]

[July 2, 2008] [Bloomberg TV](https://www.millersamuel.com/press/view.php?V=1215053100QonBO)

[July 2, 2008] [NY1 TV](https://www.millersamuel.com/press/view.php?V=1215047083ALlPd)

Tags: New York Observer

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Commercial Grade is a post by John Cicero, MAI who provides commentary on issues affecting real estate appraisers, with specific focus on commercial valuation. John is a partner of mine in our commercial real estate valuation concern [Miller Cicero, LLC](http://www.millercicero.com) and he is, depending on what day of the week it is, one of the smartest guys I know. …Jonathan Miller

The latest New York City Income Property Report covering the second half of 2007 has been released. I prepare this report semi-annually on behalf of Massey Knakal and it’s the only one of its kind. The report tracks the sales activity of walk-up apartment buildings, elevator apartment buildings and mixed-use buildings in five New York City markets: Manhattan (generally south of 96th Street), Northern Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens and the Bronx.

The total number of sales dropped 16% from the first half of 2007, but a more moderate 7% compared with the second half of 2006. Though the number of sales has declined prices remained stable and even increased in some instances. The following table reflects a peak in the number of sales in early 2006, while pricing has continued to rise.

Though this is clearly not as big as when Bob Knakal got his hair cut, for those interested the entire report is available for download at www.millercicero.com.

Tags: Soapbox Blog, Massey Knakal, Commercial Grade

Comments Off on [Commercial Grade] Massey Knakal NYC Income Property Market Report Second Half 2007 prepared by Miller Cicero released

Our commercial advisory firm just released its New York City Income Property Market Report for the second half of 2007 for Massey Knakal. My commercial valuation partner John Cicero prepares the report. It’s the only report of its kind in the New York City commercial market.

Here’s an excerpt:

In the second half of 2007 credit tightened considerably as the losses in sub-prime mortgages worked their way through the financial markets. While indicators are somewhat mixed, in general during this period prices for income property remained stable throughout the city, though the number of sales dropped, in some instances quite dramatically. This reflects the “wait and see” attitude that characterized the period, with fewer buyers bidding and sellers reluctant to lower prices. The fundamentals of the market remained strong, however, with high apartment rents and very low vacancy. The prospect of turning over below market rent-regulated units to higher market levels continues to attract investors, and credit, though tighter, was still available albeit from different sources. Cap rates and gross income multipliers remained stable.

The number of sales dropped 16% from the first half of 2007 to the second half, though the decline was only 7% from the second half of 2006 to the second half of 2007. On a calendar year basis, there were overall 10.5% fewer sales in 2007 than 2006. Though the number of walk-up apartment buildings in Manhattan showed a sharp decline from the first half of the year, calendar year 2007 sales actually show a 16% increase over calendar year 2006…

Massey Knakal will distribute over 300,000 hard copies of the report over the next few months.

Massey Knakal New York City Income Property Market Report [2H07]

Report Methodology [Miller Cicero]

Tags: Massey Knakal, Sub-Prime, Miller Cicero

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