_Getting Graphic is a semi-sort-of-irregular collection of our favorite BIG real estate-related chart(s)._

Source:Cycles Magazine

A hat tip to [Walk-Through](http://walkthrough.nytimes.com/?p=552) for the article [Party time (until real estate collapses)[MW]](http://www.marketwatch.com/News/Story/Story.aspx?dist=newsfinder&siteid=mktw&guid=%7BF8B9E8DB%2D7503%2D4719%2D8378%2D0E6A5729C3C2%7D&link=&keyword=business%202.0).

>Short-term, nobody knows. But take the long view and the fog begins to lift. The confusion starts to dissipate. And lately one of my long-range indicators is the press itself, in particular the drumbeat of coverage on the real estate market. The noise is sounding like thunder.

_[Edward R. Dewey](http://ray.tomes.biz/dewey.htm), the former chief economist in FDR’s Department of Commerce developed a chart: “The 18 1/3-Year Cycle in Real Estate Activity, 1795-1958.” In eight 18.3-year cycles over 150 years, Dewey says, “the waves were too clear and too regular to be denied or ignored.”_

_Dewey wrote that it should be reviewed yearly. But he hasn’t been around to do the job since 1978. Nevertheless, that 150-year chart of real estate cycles has intrigued me since the 1970s when I worked in Morgan Stanley’s real estate investment banking group. So I took a trip down memory lane and projected the 18.3-year cycle from a low point in the early ’50s forward three cycles to a low point around 2007. In other words, a bottom in the real estate market is dead ahead._


2 Comments

  1. Cedar City Utah Real Estate May 24, 2006 at 9:37 am

    That is some very interested real estate information you present. Its amazing to see the graph. Very interesting thx for your contribution.

  2. […] Real Estate Can Be Trendy (Every 18.3 Years) – Matrix […]

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